Pre-tourney Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Northeast
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#211
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#218
Pace75.4#37
Improvement+6.4#8

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#122
Improvement+2.2#67

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#294
Improvement+4.2#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four91.3% n/a n/a
First Round57.8% n/a n/a
Second Round1.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 51   @ West Virginia L 62-77 9%     0 - 1 -2.8 +1.3 -6.2
  Nov 13, 2013 5   @ Villanova L 59-90 3%     0 - 2 -10.8 -5.9 -3.7
  Nov 15, 2013 47   @ BYU L 76-108 8%     0 - 3 -19.0 -4.5 -9.4
  Nov 17, 2013 322   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 84-90 OT 72%     0 - 4 -14.7 -8.8 -4.5
  Nov 20, 2013 336   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 71-78 77%     0 - 5 -17.6 -8.4 -9.5
  Nov 23, 2013 124   American W 68-64 39%     1 - 5 +4.2 +10.3 -5.4
  Nov 26, 2013 168   Bucknell W 69-64 50%     2 - 5 +2.1 +9.3 -6.2
  Nov 29, 2013 10   @ Michigan St. L 65-98 3%     2 - 6 -13.9 -2.0 -10.6
  Dec 04, 2013 330   Binghamton L 70-74 88%     2 - 7 -19.5 -10.3 -9.2
  Dec 07, 2013 288   Loyola Maryland W 70-58 78%     3 - 7 +1.1 -7.3 +8.3
  Dec 22, 2013 76   @ Penn St. L 82-92 13%     3 - 8 -0.4 +7.2 -6.8
  Dec 30, 2013 71   @ Texas Tech L 69-100 12%     3 - 9 -21.0 -4.7 -14.3
  Jan 03, 2014 258   @ Norfolk St. W 104-84 49%     4 - 9 +17.5 +29.6 -12.1
  Jan 09, 2014 285   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 79-85 58%     4 - 10 0 - 1 -10.7 -2.6 -7.8
  Jan 11, 2014 207   St. Francis Brooklyn W 88-82 60%     5 - 10 1 - 1 +0.7 +7.0 -6.9
  Jan 16, 2014 187   Wagner W 89-80 55%     6 - 10 2 - 1 +4.8 +7.1 -3.4
  Jan 18, 2014 197   Robert Morris L 69-77 58%     6 - 11 2 - 2 -12.7 -5.9 -6.9
  Jan 23, 2014 307   @ St. Francis (PA) W 83-77 65%     7 - 11 3 - 2 -0.8 +5.1 -6.1
  Jan 25, 2014 321   @ LIU Brooklyn L 71-75 71%     7 - 12 3 - 3 -12.4 -9.2 -3.3
  Jan 30, 2014 285   Fairleigh Dickinson W 87-82 OT 76%     8 - 12 4 - 3 -5.3 -10.0 +3.8
  Feb 01, 2014 321   LIU Brooklyn W 95-92 85%     9 - 12 5 - 3 -11.0 +6.2 -17.4
  Feb 06, 2014 317   @ Sacred Heart W 73-60 68%     10 - 12 6 - 3 +5.5 -8.0 +12.8
  Feb 08, 2014 210   @ Bryant L 75-78 39%     10 - 13 6 - 4 -2.8 +2.0 -4.9
  Feb 15, 2014 197   @ Robert Morris L 61-69 36%     10 - 14 6 - 5 -7.1 -13.0 +6.0
  Feb 20, 2014 312   @ Central Connecticut St. W 87-76 67%     11 - 14 7 - 5 +3.8 +1.3 +1.3
  Feb 22, 2014 187   @ Wagner L 66-71 34%     11 - 15 7 - 6 -3.6 +0.8 -4.5
  Feb 24, 2014 210   Bryant W 88-73 60%     12 - 15 8 - 6 +9.6 +10.1 -0.7
  Feb 27, 2014 317   Sacred Heart L 65-72 83%     12 - 16 8 - 7 -20.0 -15.5 -4.5
  Mar 01, 2014 307   St. Francis (PA) W 78-55 82%     13 - 16 9 - 7 +10.6 +9.2 +4.2
  Mar 05, 2014 207   St. Francis Brooklyn W 72-71 60%     14 - 16 -4.3 -2.4 -1.9
  Mar 08, 2014 187   @ Wagner W 77-72 34%     15 - 16 +6.4 +11.0 -4.5
  Mar 11, 2014 197   @ Robert Morris W 88-71 36%     16 - 16 +17.9 +15.2 +2.7
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7